V-Lab
Danto Hldgs Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,621.10
1 Week
2,610.65
1 Month
2,523.42
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1537 | 8.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8488 | 366.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0690 | -2.13** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1314 | 9.95*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9991 | 2,153.25*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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