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V-Lab

Cel Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

5,556.10

increased by 18.15

1 Week

5,215.52

decreased by 322.43

1 Month

5,100.78

decreased by 437.17

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cel Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 11, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0041
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0560
2.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8851
17.34***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0894
-1.21

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days