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V-Lab

Cel Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,306.97

decreased by 182.00

1 Week

4,560.64

increased by 71.67

1 Month

5,129.79

increased by 640.82

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cel Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 11, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0039
4.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0542
2.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8884
17.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0881
-1.23

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days