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Cel Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

5,648.10

increased by 4.01

1 Week

5,228.34

decreased by 415.75

1 Month

5,099.92

decreased by 544.17

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cel Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 11, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
14.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8556
71.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0267
-6.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3,863.6160

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

7 days