V-Lab
Cel Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,164.97
decreased by 205.87
1 Week
4,450.38
increased by 79.54
1 Month
5,107.31
increased by 736.47
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 11, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0665 | 14.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8606 | 74.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0247 | -6.43*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3,885.5764 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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