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V-Lab

San Shing Fastech Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,724.91

decreased by 910.61

1 Week

5,099.97

decreased by 1,535.55

1 Month

4,999.14

decreased by 1,636.38

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of San Shing Fastech ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 119 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0993
3.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1751
14.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8191
71.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0659
-3.60***
γ20.1074
4.36***
γ3-0.0590
-3.24***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

119 days