Nippon Rad Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8,554.94
decreased by 1,101.84
1 Week
6,852.33
decreased by 2,804.45
1 Month
5,267.27
decreased by 4,389.51
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 26, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1593 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9104 | 6.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2213 | 19.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7783 | 69.33*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.2279 | -4.66*** |
| γ2 | 1.9572 | 5.32*** |
| γ3 | -2.3466 | -6.91*** |
| γ4 | 3.3487 | 6.53*** |
| γ5 | -2.4800 | -5.37*** |
| γ6 | 1.0311 | 3.15*** |
| γ7 | -0.0465 | -0.17 |
| γ8 | -1.0726 | -3.37*** |
| γ9 | 2.0858 | 5.14*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1593 days
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