Nippon Rad Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
7,904.27
1 Week
6,118.79
1 Month
4,682.38
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 26, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2132 | 0.08 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8166 | 201.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2132 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0008 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3570 | 0.84 |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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