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TST Group Holding Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

6,773.11

increased by 92.78

1 Week

4,507.81

decreased by 2,172.52

1 Month

3,623.26

decreased by 3,057.07

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TST Group Holding Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7885
10.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1536
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7714
22.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0890
0.50
γ2-0.7094
-2.23**
γ31.6458
5.37***
γ4-2.6967
-5.62***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days