V-Lab
TST Group Holding Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
7,948.95
1 Week
5,800.88
1 Month
5,087.61
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1512 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6730 | 9.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1512 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1310 | 0.20 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8690 | 2.43** |
Persistence:
0.749
Half-life:
2 days
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