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Asgent Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

8,935.27

increased by 4,897.87

1 Week

4,596.91

increased by 559.51

1 Month

3,047.20

decreased by 990.20

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asgent Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1276 trading days (~5.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8810
4.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2474
23.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7520
72.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.6442
-5.74***
γ23.5630
6.01***
γ3-3.9389
-7.88***
γ43.4249
11.57***
γ5-2.2027
-11.10***
γ61.2138
6.61***
γ7-0.2163
-1.02
γ8-0.7017
-3.39***
γ90.6703
2.85***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1276 days