V-Lab
Asgent Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
9,803.09
1 Week
5,117.66
1 Month
3,384.28
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2670 | 0.11 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7684 | 193.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2670 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0002 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5224 | 1.82* |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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