V-Lab
Tenda Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
10,618.74
decreased by 452.73
1 Week
11,398.84
increased by 327.37
1 Month
9,917.29
decreased by 1,154.18
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2021 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4970 | 5.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1075 | 4.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8230 | 23.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -1.3761 | -4.43*** |
| γ2 | 1.2663 | 2.52** |
| γ3 | 1.5715 | 3.80*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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