V-Lab
Tenda Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
5,292.66
decreased by 407.66
1 Week
6,039.69
increased by 339.37
1 Month
5,700.41
increased by 0.09
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2021 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.60 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0478 | 3.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9150 | 64.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0745 | 1.93* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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