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V-Lab

GMO TECH Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,194.66

decreased by 7,433.69

1 Week

5,473.08

decreased by 6,155.27

1 Month

4,149.45

decreased by 7,478.90

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2453
5.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2955
1.81*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1611
0.86
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ117.7972
4.56***
γ2-27.2403
-3.25***

Persistence:

0.457

Half-life:

1 days