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GMO TECH Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

544.10

decreased by 215,270.00

1 Week

44,026.71

decreased by 171,787.39

1 Month

11,586.28

decreased by 204,227.82

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 65% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7510
202.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
10.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4866
65.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0069
143.27***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
2.00**

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

121 days