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Nippon Pigment Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

6,218.21

increased by 3,674.18

1 Week

3,267.49

increased by 723.46

1 Month

2,216.09

decreased by 327.94

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nippon Pigment Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8302
4.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1451
15.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8470
87.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1041
-3.05***
γ20.2176
4.64***
γ3-0.2281
-8.42***
γ40.2223
7.55***
γ5-0.2334
-6.04***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days