V-Lab
Nippon Pigment Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
6,218.21
increased by 3,674.18
1 Week
3,267.49
increased by 723.46
1 Month
2,216.09
decreased by 327.94
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8302 | 4.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1451 | 15.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8470 | 87.98*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.1041 | -3.05*** |
| γ2 | 0.2176 | 4.64*** |
| γ3 | -0.2281 | -8.42*** |
| γ4 | 0.2223 | 7.55*** |
| γ5 | -0.2334 | -6.04*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
88 days
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