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Nippon Pigment Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

4,574.23

increased by 1,874.09

1 Week

2,956.95

increased by 256.81

1 Month

2,034.65

decreased by 665.49

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Nippon Pigment Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 69% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0773
29.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8959
600.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0537
11.56***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days