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Great Eagle Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

6,812.18

decreased by 377.71

1 Week

6,160.55

decreased by 1,029.34

1 Month

3,762.67

decreased by 3,427.22

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 6134 trading days (~24.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1102
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1387
1.36
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8612
8.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.0482
0.27
γ2-0.4240
-0.67
γ30.8024
0.62
γ40.0012
0.00
γ5-1.1546
-2.04**
γ60.8920
2.00**
γ7-0.1145
-0.45
γ8-0.0204
-0.13
γ9-0.1986
-0.98

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

6134 days