V-Lab
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,812.18
decreased by 377.71
1 Week
6,160.55
decreased by 1,029.34
1 Month
3,762.67
decreased by 3,427.22
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 6134 trading days (~24.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1102 | 4.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1387 | 1.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8612 | 8.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.0482 | 0.27 |
| γ2 | -0.4240 | -0.67 |
| γ3 | 0.8024 | 0.62 |
| γ4 | 0.0012 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -1.1546 | -2.04** |
| γ6 | 0.8920 | 2.00** |
| γ7 | -0.1145 | -0.45 |
| γ8 | -0.0204 | -0.13 |
| γ9 | -0.1986 | -0.98 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
6134 days
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