V-Lab
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
5,633.30
1 Week
5,228.47
1 Month
4,103.07
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0528 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9144 | 12.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0528 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0048 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9932 | 18.16*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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