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Mksystem Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11,102.29

decreased by 705.77

1 Week

11,730.74

decreased by 77.32

1 Month

17,961.42

increased by 6,153.36

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mksystem Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 18, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 632 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0283
4.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1566
11.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8423
60.70***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0250
1.69*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

632 days