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Nextgen Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

10,891.78

increased by 1,116.61

1 Week

7,264.02

decreased by 2,511.15

1 Month

3,496.56

decreased by 6,278.61

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2007 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 306 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~306 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4414
3.38***
αARCH0.2002
12.77***
βGARCH0.7975
47.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0077
1.60

0.998

Persistence

306d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4414
3.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2002
12.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7975
47.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0077
1.60

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

306 days