V-Lab
Nextgen Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
8,747.24
increased by 5,496.02
1 Week
4,343.30
increased by 1,092.08
1 Month
4,024.59
increased by 773.37
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 309 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4363 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1994 | 12.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7984 | 47.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0078 | 1.57 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
309 days
Other Nextgen Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities