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Nextgen Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

8,747.24

increased by 5,496.02

1 Week

4,343.30

increased by 1,092.08

1 Month

4,024.59

increased by 773.37

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 309 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4363
3.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1994
12.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7984
47.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0078
1.57

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

309 days