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Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

9,103.04

increased by 5,811.29

1 Week

4,455.47

increased by 1,163.72

1 Month

4,107.26

increased by 815.51

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 07:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 483 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2109
11.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8088
346.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0421
-1.18
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.3816
6.20***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9991
1,914.03***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

483 days