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Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

11,418.54

increased by 1,255.75

1 Week

7,515.59

decreased by 2,647.20

1 Month

3,486.47

decreased by 6,676.32

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nextgen Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2007 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1054 trading days (~4.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1054 days
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.2121
20.93***
βGARCH0.8076
87.60***
γleverage-0.0407
-4.25***
λ₁tau intercept10,526.2536

0.999

Persistence

1054d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2121
20.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8076
87.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0407
-4.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10,526.2536

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1054 days