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V-Lab

Day1 Company Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

11,139.25

increased by 8,420.83

1 Week

3,730.67

increased by 1,012.25

1 Month

1,915.18

decreased by 803.24

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Day1 Company Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5222
4.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3251
6.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5807
7.74***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.4303
0.43

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days