V-Lab
Day1 Company Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
11,139.25
increased by 8,420.83
1 Week
3,730.67
increased by 1,012.25
1 Month
1,915.18
decreased by 803.24
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5222 | 4.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3251 | 6.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5807 | 7.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.4303 | 0.43 |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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