V-Lab
Day1 Company Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
11,043.87
1 Week
3,405.98
1 Month
1,484.82
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 91% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3564 | 2.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1693 | 9.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7540 | 58.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1535 | 3.84*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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