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V-Lab

Yancoal Australia Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

811.74

increased by 91.83

1 Week

776.11

increased by 56.20

1 Month

596.84

decreased by 123.07

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Yancoal Australia Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 46 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5052
2.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1535
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8314
21.79***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ12.5712
0.90
γ2-18.2158
-3.89***
γ333.5997
9.24***
γ4-24.4962
-5.79***
γ59.1411
2.33**
γ6-5.1961
-1.74*
γ75.2958
1.52

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days