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V-Lab

Kfc Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

10,663.93

increased by 8,741.27

1 Week

3,588.82

increased by 1,666.16

1 Month

1,810.93

decreased by 111.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kfc Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6448
4.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8540
52.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0623
0.53
γ2-0.3839
-2.24**
γ30.7193
7.19***
γ4-0.6767
-7.67***
γ50.4830
4.66***
γ6-0.3454
-2.35**

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days