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Kfc Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

8,158.56

increased by 6,391.31

1 Week

2,953.62

increased by 1,186.37

1 Month

1,615.86

decreased by 151.39

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kfc Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1001
22.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9042
401.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0086
-1.26

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-