Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Logan Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,239.10

increased by 332.74

1 Week

4,585.53

increased by 679.17

1 Month

5,156.72

increased by 1,250.36

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Logan Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2013 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 265 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~265 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1832
4.43***
αARCH0.1685
12.57***
βGARCH0.8289
66.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0113
0.60

0.997

Persistence

265d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1832
4.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1685
12.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8289
66.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0113
0.60

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

265 days