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BOCOM International Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

12,077.78

increased by 2,111.04

1 Week

8,773.66

decreased by 1,193.08

1 Month

5,608.86

decreased by 4,357.88

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BOCOM International Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 19, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2879
2.41**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2559
5.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7139
17.00***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ11.7283
3.78***
γ2-3.3484
-4.70***
γ33.4889
8.37***
γ4-4.1309
-9.37***
γ53.3591
4.70***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days