V-Lab
BOCOM International Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
11,853.47
1 Week
9,889.04
1 Month
7,905.17
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 19, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2385 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5479 | 0.92 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2385 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3126 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6874 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.667
Half-life:
2 days
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