V-Lab
T-Flex Techvest PCB Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
7,138.07
increased by 2,271.64
1 Week
5,237.20
increased by 370.77
1 Month
3,879.04
decreased by 987.39
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 970 trading days (~3.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3881 | 4.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1655 | 12.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8338 | 63.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0139 | -2.78*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
970 days
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