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Ji-Haw Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,991.66

decreased by 317.39

1 Week

5,225.72

decreased by 83.33

1 Month

4,734.46

decreased by 574.59

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ji-Haw Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2003 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 339 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~339 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3537
5.84***
αARCH0.1923
14.29***
βGARCH0.8057
58.40***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0090
-2.30**

0.998

Persistence

339d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3537
5.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1923
14.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8057
58.40***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0090
-2.30**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

339 days