Ji-Haw Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026
1 Day
4,991.66
decreased by 317.39
1 Week
5,225.72
decreased by 83.33
1 Month
4,734.46
decreased by 574.59
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2003 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 339 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~339 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3537 | 5.84*** |
| αARCH | 0.1923 | 14.29*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8057 | 58.40*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0090 | -2.30** |
0.998
Persistence339d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3537 | 5.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1923 | 14.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8057 | 58.40*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0090 | -2.30** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
339 days
Other Ji-Haw Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities