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Ji-Haw Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,153.52

decreased by 667.02

1 Week

5,134.69

decreased by 685.85

1 Month

4,704.56

decreased by 1,115.98

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ji-Haw Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2003 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 345% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~121 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 345% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.20
αARCH0.0523
3.86***
βGARCH0.8516
101.23***
γleverage0.1807
9.03***

0.994

Persistence

121d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.20
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0523
3.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8516
101.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1807
9.03***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

121 days