Ji-Haw Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,153.52
decreased by 667.02
1 Week
5,134.69
decreased by 685.85
1 Month
4,704.56
decreased by 1,115.98
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2003 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 345% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~121 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 345% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.20 |
| αARCH | 0.0523 | 3.86*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8516 | 101.23*** |
| γleverage | 0.1807 | 9.03*** |
0.994
Persistence121d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.20 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0523 | 3.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8516 | 101.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1807 | 9.03*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
121 days
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