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Asahimatsu Foods Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

5,433.63

increased by 2,785.89

1 Week

3,222.81

increased by 575.07

1 Month

2,757.81

increased by 110.07

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimatsu Foods Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 1995 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3249
10.10***
αARCH0.0874
8.55***
βGARCH0.8761
56.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0182
-5.56***
γ20.0264
4.29***

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3249
10.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0874
8.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8761
56.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0182
-5.56***
γ20.0264
4.29***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days