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Asahimatsu Foods Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

4,534.55

increased by 1,809.94

1 Week

3,081.68

increased by 357.07

1 Month

2,784.67

increased by 60.06

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimatsu Foods Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 1995 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.54
αARCH0.0728
5.85***
βGARCH0.9348
172.51***
γleverage-0.0153
-0.79

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.54
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0728
5.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9348
172.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0153
-0.79

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days