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Collins Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,491.22

decreased by 63.45

1 Week

6,099.21

decreased by 455.46

1 Month

4,022.89

decreased by 2,531.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Collins Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 1994 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1078 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1078 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1125
5.58***
αARCH0.1497
18.53***
βGARCH0.8497
104.11***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0087
-7.32***

0.999

Persistence

1078d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1125
5.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1497
18.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8497
104.11***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0087
-7.32***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1078 days