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Collins Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

7,325.25

increased by 214.45

1 Week

6,306.70

decreased by 804.10

1 Month

4,212.65

decreased by 2,898.15

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Collins Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 1994 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 164% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 164% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8045
2.61***
αARCH0.0656
6.20***
βGARCH0.8805
153.29***
γleverage0.1078
5.52***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8045
2.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0656
6.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8805
153.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1078
5.52***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-