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EnTie Commercial Bank Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

6,058.35

decreased by 123.08

1 Week

6,155.34

decreased by 26.09

1 Month

5,579.36

decreased by 602.07

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EnTie Commercial Bank Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 29, 1997 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4847 trading days (~19.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~4847 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0538
5.89***
αARCH0.1530
13.24***
βGARCH0.8469
72.91***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0053
-1.51

1.000

Persistence

4847d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0538
5.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1530
13.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8469
72.91***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0053
-1.51

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4847 days