V-Lab
EnTie Commercial Bank Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
7,261.63
increased by 3,981.68
1 Week
3,972.87
increased by 692.92
1 Month
3,903.50
increased by 623.55
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 29, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5776 trading days (~22.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0499 | 5.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1529 | 13.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8469 | 73.20*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0060 | -1.67* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5776 days
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