V-Lab
EnTie Commercial Bank Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
7,207.18
1 Week
3,748.89
1 Month
3,713.73
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 29, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1611 | 1.35 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8531 | 275.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0925 | -0.43 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3698 | 1.93* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9956 | 321.90*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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