V-Lab
Lindeman Asia Inve Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
8,707.06
increased by 6,799.82
1 Week
3,685.08
increased by 1,777.84
1 Month
3,417.61
increased by 1,510.37
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 67 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0684 | 4.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2979 | 15.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6918 | 33.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.1551 | -3.32*** |
| γ2 | 0.4602 | 4.21*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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