V-Lab
Lindeman Asia Inve ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10,111.56
1 Week
3,945.96
1 Month
3,501.64
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2961 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7159 | 12.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1702 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.1337 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6286 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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