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Youngqin Intl Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

2,243.87

decreased by 157.54

1 Week

2,142.57

decreased by 258.84

1 Month

3,101.38

increased by 699.97

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Youngqin Intl Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 26, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4387 trading days (~17.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4913
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2510
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7489
7.72***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-41.5632
-2.90***
γ269.1824
2.81***
γ3-39.2342
-2.47**
γ412.2921
1.56
γ50.6829
0.19
γ60.0884
0.02
γ7-5.0283
-1.11
γ86.6744
1.62
γ9-4.4138
-0.92

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4387 days