V-Lab
Youngqin Intl Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,619.58
decreased by 11.87
1 Week
1,620.45
decreased by 11.00
1 Month
1,636.12
increased by 4.67
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 26, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9897 | 273.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0127 | 0.85 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
174 days
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