Youngqin Intl Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
1,569.29
increased by 5.37
1 Week
1,565.69
increased by 1.77
1 Month
1,558.19
decreased by 5.73
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 26, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~174 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9897 | 68.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.0127 | 0.21 |
0.996
Persistence174d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9897 | 68.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0127 | 0.21 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
174 days
Other Youngqin Intl Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities