V-Lab
Shanghai Bao Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
1,857.11
increased by 157.19
1 Week
2,148.90
increased by 448.98
1 Month
1,560.06
decreased by 139.86
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2789 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2192 | 2.33** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5511 | 2.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 7.6791 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
0.770
Half-life:
3 days
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