V-Lab
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
4,408.43
unchanged at 0.00
1 Week
4,605.57
increased by 197.14
1 Month
6,096.59
increased by 1,688.16
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6790 | 8.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -16.0819 | -5.79*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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