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V-Lab

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

9,503.43

decreased by 153.48

1 Week

9,783.62

increased by 126.71

1 Month

10,515.82

increased by 858.91

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0004
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8059
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1390
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0101
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0754
22.09***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9104
100.41***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days