V-Lab
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
9,503.43
1 Week
9,783.62
1 Month
10,515.82
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0004 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8059 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1390 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0101 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0754 | 22.09*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9104 | 100.41*** |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
Other Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities