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V-Lab

Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

9,202.38

decreased by 422.81

1 Week

9,600.78

decreased by 24.41

1 Month

10,796.79

increased by 1,171.60

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0132
6.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0651
1.42
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8467
8.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5904
-0.93

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days