V-Lab
Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
5,637.21
decreased by 538.15
1 Week
5,200.93
decreased by 974.43
1 Month
6,073.87
decreased by 101.49
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9316 | 5.84*** |
| αARCH | 0.0953 | 2.03** |
| βGARCH | 0.8355 | 10.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.0671 | -2.46** |
0.931
Persistence10d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9316 | 5.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0953 | 2.03** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8355 | 10.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.0671 | -2.46** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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