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Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

1,285.03

decreased by 99.28

1 Week

1,462.83

increased by 78.52

1 Month

2,762.61

increased by 1,378.30

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8581
5.02***
αARCH0.1216
2.58***
βGARCH0.8138
10.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-6.1164
-3.83***

0.935

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8581
5.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1216
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8138
10.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-6.1164
-3.83***

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days