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V-Lab

Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

18,228.18

decreased by 238.29

1 Week

18,087.53

decreased by 378.94

1 Month

16,324.75

decreased by 2,141.72

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 04:46 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3453
5.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
1.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5611
1.26
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ13.3589
1.45

Persistence:

0.630

Half-life:

1 days