Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
1,285.03
decreased by 99.28
1 Week
1,462.83
increased by 78.52
1 Month
2,762.61
increased by 1,378.30
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8581 | 5.02*** |
| αARCH | 0.1216 | 2.58*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8138 | 10.82*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -6.1164 | -3.83*** |
0.935
Persistence10d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8581 | 5.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1216 | 2.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8138 | 10.82*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -6.1164 | -3.83*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
Other Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities