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Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

4,693.17

decreased by 193.57

1 Week

4,922.92

increased by 36.18

1 Month

5,464.55

increased by 577.81

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9319
5.74***
αARCH0.0840
1.93*
βGARCH0.8428
10.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.9782
-2.74***

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9319
5.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0840
1.93*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8428
10.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.9782
-2.74***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days