V-Lab
Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
18,228.18
decreased by 238.29
1 Week
18,087.53
decreased by 378.94
1 Month
16,324.75
decreased by 2,141.72
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 04:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3453 | 5.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0685 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5611 | 1.26 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.3589 | 1.45 |
Persistence:
0.630
Half-life:
1 days
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