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Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,637.21

decreased by 538.15

1 Week

5,200.93

decreased by 974.43

1 Month

6,073.87

decreased by 101.49

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9316
5.84***
αARCH0.0953
2.03**
βGARCH0.8355
10.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.0671
-2.46**

0.931

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9316
5.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0953
2.03**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8355
10.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.0671
-2.46**

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days