Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026
1 Day
7,402.96
increased by 2,117.77
1 Week
5,000.95
decreased by 284.24
1 Month
3,197.88
decreased by 2,087.31
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9332 | 5.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.1066 | 2.21** |
| βGARCH | 0.8145 | 9.83*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.5190 | -3.20*** |
0.921
Persistence8d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9332 | 5.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 2.21** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8145 | 9.83*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.5190 | -3.20*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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