V-Lab
Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
4,693.17
decreased by 193.57
1 Week
4,922.92
increased by 36.18
1 Month
5,464.55
increased by 577.81
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9319 | 5.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.0840 | 1.93* |
| βGARCH | 0.8428 | 10.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -3.9782 | -2.74*** |
0.927
Persistence9d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9319 | 5.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 1.93* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8428 | 10.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -3.9782 | -2.74*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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