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Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

7,402.96

increased by 2,117.77

1 Week

5,000.95

decreased by 284.24

1 Month

3,197.88

decreased by 2,087.31

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9332
5.46***
αARCH0.1066
2.21**
βGARCH0.8145
9.83***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.5190
-3.20***

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9332
5.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1066
2.21**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8145
9.83***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.5190
-3.20***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days