V-Lab
Vigonvita Life Sciences Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
10,225.68
1 Week
10,571.55
1 Month
11,467.66
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 04:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1347 | 2.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5677 | 49.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1347 | -1.87* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.96 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8592 | 2.77*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0007 | 0.93 |
Persistence:
0.635
Half-life:
2 days
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