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V-Lab

Nippon Info DEV Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

9,175.40

increased by 5,982.07

1 Week

4,309.61

increased by 1,116.28

1 Month

2,771.68

decreased by 421.65

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nippon Info DEV Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2003 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7451
5.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1725
10.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7704
36.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.3667
5.07***
γ2-0.4673
-4.10***
γ3-0.1683
-1.95*
γ40.5177
6.66***
γ5-0.2108
-2.78***
γ6-0.1952
-2.36**
γ70.2512
2.44**

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days