V-Lab
Nippon Info DEV Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
9,416.08
1 Week
3,708.29
1 Month
2,416.45
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2003 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1998 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6628 | 42.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1548 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0847 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9153 | 14.22*** |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
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