V-Lab
Lepu Scientech Medical Techn Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
4,382.31
decreased by 246.12
1 Week
4,658.03
increased by 29.60
1 Month
3,884.64
decreased by 743.79
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 177 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0569 | 6.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0749 | 5.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9212 | 67.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2101 | -1.05 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
177 days
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