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V-Lab

Lepu Scientech Medical Techn Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,382.31

decreased by 246.12

1 Week

4,658.03

increased by 29.60

1 Month

3,884.64

decreased by 743.79

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Lepu Scientech Medical Techn ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 177 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0569
6.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0749
5.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9212
67.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2101
-1.05

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

177 days